Last Mile Delivery Commercial Vehicle Market Trends, Size, Segment and Growth by Forecast to (2021-2031)

 The global passenger car powertrain market is projected to grow significantly, from US$ 789.4 billion in 2024 to US$ 1,456.27 billion by 2031, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.14% from 2025 to 2031. This growth is primarily driven by a fundamental shift towards electrification, sustainability, and advanced propulsion technologies within the automotive industry.

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Stricter global emissions regulations and government incentives for clean mobility are compelling automakers to heavily invest in electric vehicle (EV) and hybrid powertrain development. This transition is further supported by technological advancements, including high-voltage architectures, sophisticated battery management systems, and integrated smart technologies, all of which improve performance, efficiency, and connectivity. While internal combustion engines (ICEs) retain a presence in certain regions, especially where EV infrastructure is still developing, electrified solutions are clearly the long-term preference.

Regional dynamics are crucial to market expansion, with the Asia-Pacific region, notably China and India, experiencing substantial growth due to increasing urbanization and favorable government policies. Industry leaders such as Toyota, Volkswagen, and Hyundai, along with specialized powertrain manufacturers like BorgWarner and ZF Friedrichshafen, are at the forefront of innovation and market expansion. Despite challenges like high development costs, the necessity for robust charging infrastructure, and supply chain complexities, the passenger car powertrain market is set for strong growth, with electrification, hybridization, and smart technologies leading the way.

Passenger Cars Powertrain Market: A Comprehensive Analysis

The global passenger car powertrain market is experiencing significant evolution, driven by stringent emission regulations, technological advancements, and shifting consumer preferences. Key segments analyzed include drive type, propulsion type, sales channel, and geography.

Market Segmentation Analysis

By Drive Type:

• Front-Wheel Drive (FWD): Dominated the market in 2024 and remains the most prevalent globally, particularly in hatchbacks, sedans, and compact SUVs. Its popularity stems from cost-effectiveness, fuel efficiency, and packaging advantages, making it ideal for urban and family-oriented vehicles.
• Rear-Wheel Drive (RWD)
• All-Wheel Drive (AWD)

By Propulsion Type:

• Internal Combustion Engine (ICE): Continues to dominate the market, especially in regions like Asia Pacific, which held the largest market share in 2024 and is projected to maintain strong growth.
• Electric (EV): Experiencing dynamic growth fueled by technological advancements and falling battery costs.

By Sales Channel:

• OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer): Represents factory-fitted components and new vehicle sales, continuing to dominate overall market value. Growth is driven by rising global vehicle production, increasing consumer preference for electric and hybrid vehicles, and the expansion of connected car ecosystems.
• Aftermarket: Includes replacement parts, accessories, maintenance, and upgrades. This segment is experiencing strong and sustained growth due to an aging vehicle fleet, increased vehicle longevity, environmental awareness, customization trends, and the transition to electric vehicles.

By Geography:

• Asia Pacific: Dominated the market in 2024 and is the largest and fastest-growing region, led by China, India, and Japan. Southeast Asian countries like Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines are also witnessing surging demand due to rising incomes and urbanization.

Market Drivers and Opportunities

The passenger cars powertrain market is propelled by several key factors:

• Stringent Emissions Regulations and Government Incentives: Governments worldwide are implementing stricter emission standards (e.g., Euro 7, CAFE standards) to combat climate change and improve air quality. These regulations compel automakers to accelerate the transition to electric and hybrid powertrains. Additionally, substantial financial incentives (tax credits, subsidies) offered by governments encourage consumers to purchase EVs, directly stimulating demand for advanced powertrains.
• Technological Advancements and Falling Battery Costs: Continuous innovation in powertrain technology, including improvements in battery energy density, charging speeds, and electric motor efficiency, is making EVs more practical and appealing. Critically, the steady decline in the cost of lithium-ion battery packs, the most expensive EV component, is bringing the upfront cost of EVs closer to that of ICE vehicles, a key factor in driving mass-market adoption.

Market Size and Share Analysis

The growth of the passenger car market is closely linked to evolving consumer preferences, vehicle segment trends, and technological advancements across all segments. While ICE vehicles still hold a dominant share, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, the market is experiencing a dynamic shift with robust growth in the electric vehicle segment. The OEM sales channel continues to lead in overall market value, while the aftermarket is also experiencing significant expansion driven by a maturing vehicle fleet and evolving consumer needs.

Market leaders and key company profiles

  Toyota Motor Corporation

  Honda Motor Co. Ltd.,

  Ford Motor Company

  Hyundai Motor Company

  General Motors Company

  Volkswagen Group

  BMW AG

  Daimler AG (Mercedes-Benz Group AG)

  BorgWarner Inc.

  ZF Friedrichshafen AG

Passenger Cars Powertrain Market Report Coverage and Deliverables

The "Passenger Cars Powertrain Market Outlook (2021–2031)" report provides a detailed analysis of the market covering below areas:

• Passenger Cars Powertrain market size and forecast at global, regional, and country levels for all the key market segments covered under the scope
• Passenger Cars Powertrain market trends, as well as market dynamics such as drivers, restraints, and key opportunities
• Detailed Porter's Five Forces and SWOT analysis
• Passenger Cars Powertrain market analysis covering key market trends, global and regional framework, major players, regulations, and recent market developments
• Industry landscape and competition analysis covering market concentration, heat map analysis, prominent players, and recent developments for the Passenger Cars Powertrain market
• Detailed company profiles

The Asia Pacific Passenger Cars Powertrain market is poised for significant growth, driven by a confluence of factors including proactive government policies, robust manufacturing capabilities, and increasing consumer demand. This region is expected to lead the global market in both volume and growth rate.

Key Market Dynamics in Asia Pacific:

• Aggressive Government Policies and Subsidies: Governments across the Asia Pacific region are actively promoting the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) through supportive policies, incentives, and subsidies, which are accelerating the shift in powertrain technologies.
• Manufacturing and Supply Chain Supremacy: The region boasts a highly developed automotive manufacturing ecosystem and a strong supply chain, enabling efficient production and distribution of powertrain components and complete vehicles.
• Rising Urbanization and Economic Growth: Rapid urbanization and sustained economic growth in many Asia Pacific countries are leading to increased disposable incomes and a rising demand for passenger cars, including those with advanced powertrain systems.

Country-Specific Highlights:

• China: Continues to be the dominant force, characterized by intense competition among domestic brands (e.g., BYD, Nio, XPeng) and international players. This competitive landscape fosters rapid innovation and a diverse range of EV models.
• India: Emerging as a significant growth frontier. While currently dominated by internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, the passenger EV market is experiencing explosive growth from a relatively low base, propelled by new model launches and growing consumer awareness.
• Japan and South Korea: These mature markets are at the forefront of technological innovation, particularly in highly efficient hybrid systems and cutting-edge battery electric vehicle (BEV) technologies.
• ASEAN Countries (Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam): Representing the next wave of growth. With strong government support and substantial investment from major Chinese, Japanese, and Korean automakers, these countries are becoming crucial battlegrounds for market share in the affordable EV segment.

Passenger Cars Powertrain Market Research Report Guidance:

This comprehensive report offers both qualitative and quantitative data across various segments: drive type, propulsion, sales channel, and geography.

• Key Trends and Outlook: Chapter 2 provides an overview of key market trends and future outlook.
• Research Methodology: Chapter 3 details the research methodology employed in the study.
• Ecosystem and Porter's Analysis: Chapter 4 includes an ecosystem analysis along with Porter's Five Forces analysis.
• Industry Dynamics: Chapter 5 delves into major industry dynamics, covering market drivers, deterrents, opportunities, and future trends, along with their impact analysis.
• Market Scenario and Forecast: Chapter 6 presents historical market revenues and forecasts up to 2031.
• Segment Analysis: Chapters 7 to 9 provide in-depth analysis of market segments by product type, portability, technology, application, end-user, and geography (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and South & Central America), including revenue forecasts and driving factors.
• Competitive Analysis: Chapter 10 offers a competitive analysis, including a heat map of key players.
• Industry Landscape: Chapter 11 describes the industry landscape, encompassing market initiatives, new developments, mergers, joint ventures, and the competitive environment.
• Company Profiles: Chapter 12 features detailed profiles of major companies, including their key facts, business descriptions, products and services, financial overviews, SWOT analysis, and key developments.
• Appendix: Chapter 13 includes a brief company overview, list of abbreviations, and a disclaimer.

Recent Market News and Key Developments:

• June 9, 2025: Tata Motors announced an investment of INR 35,000 crore (approximately US$ 350 billion) over five years in its passenger vehicle business. This investment is aimed at expanding products, integrating next-generation technologies, and improving profitability.
• July 2024: Stellantis expanded its benchmark hybrid powertrain offerings across Europe, introducing 30 hybrid models in 2024 with six more planned by 2026, in response to growing customer demand.

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Author's Bio
Akshay
Senior Market Research Expert at Business Market Insights